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Andrey Rublev vs Casper Ruud Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Rublev vs Ruud analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Andrey Rublev vs Casper Ruud Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Rublev 5 - 2 Ruud

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Rublev has won 56.98% of points on their second serve, while Ruud has won 54.57%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Rublev, in recent form, has won 52.04% of their opponent's second serve points, while Ruud has won 51.08%. The same stats for first serve returns are 28.87% and 31.57% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Rublev has saved 73.71% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Ruud has saved 65.25% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Rublev has won 68.83% of matches played (W/L 53/ 24), with Ruud winning 72% (W/L 54/ 21) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Rublev has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 66% (W/L 25/ 13), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 123/ 69). Ruud has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 70% (W/L 234/ 102), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 36% (W/L 4/ 7).
  • Player level: In the last year, Rublev has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 74.19% of matches (W/L 23/ 8), where as Ruud has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 78.95% of matches (W/L 30/ 8). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 7 times before with Rublev winning 5 times and Ruud being victorious 2 times. They have played 16 sets in total, with Rublev winning 11 and Ruud winning 5. The last match between Rublev and Ruud was at the Nordea Open - Bastad, 23-07-2023, Final, Clay with Andrey Rublev getting the victory 7-6(3) 6-0.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:35:23.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Rublev and Ruud have played a deciding set 2 times, with Rublev winning 1 times and Ruud 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 3 tiebreaks against each other with Rublev winning 2, and Ruud 1.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Rublev has played against opponents with an average rank of 96.92 while Ruud has played against players with an average rank of 136.95.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Rublev has won 71% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Ruud has won 63% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Rublev has converted 33.07% of breakpoint opportunities, and Ruud has converted 41.42% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Andrey Rublev

21

Total

2

Mast

1

Chall

0

Slam

14

Main

4

Minor

6

Rank

5

High

26

Age

R

Plays

5

Total

2

1

Hard

0

4

Clay

0

0

Indoor

2

0

Grass

0

7

Rank

2

High

25

Age

R

Plays

Casper Ruud

15

Total

0

Mast

1

Chall

0

Slam

12

Main

2

Minor

5

Total

2

1

Hard

0

4

Clay

0

0

Indoor

2

0

Grass

0

W W W W W W L W W L

Form

L W W W W W W W W L

65% (453-242)

Career Total W/L

66% (396-208)

71% (24-10)

YTD W/L

80% (39-10)

$15,497,270

Career Prize Money

$11,273,915

2

YTD Titles

2

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Rublev VS Ruud H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Andrey Rublev Casper Ruud
All H2H Matches 5 2
Sets Won 11 5
Games Won 90 70
Aces (Total) 48 41
DFs (Total) 11 12
Avg Match Time 1:35:23 1:35:23
1st Serve % 62% (287/461) 68% (336/497)
1st Serve Win% 78% (224/287) 61% (206/336)
2nd Serve Win% 49% (85/174) 50% (81/161)
BPs Won% (Total) 52% (26/50) 61% (17/28)
Return Points W% 42% (210/497) 33% (152/461)
Best of 3 Sets W% 67% (4/6) 33% (2/6)
Best of 5 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 67% (2/3) 33% (1/3)
Deciding Set Win% 50% (1/2) 50% (1/2)
1st set W, W 80% (5/4) 50% (2/1)
1st set W, L 20% (5/1) 50% (2/1)
1st set L, W 50% (2/1) 20% (5/1)

Rublev VS Ruud H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
7-6(3) 6-0
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Casper Ruud
73% ( 44 of 60)
1st Serve %
67% ( 48 of 72)
6
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
3
82% ( 36 of 44)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 29 of 48)
50% ( 8 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 10 of 24)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
27% ( 16 of 60)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 33 of 72)
77
Total Points Won
55
6-2 6-4
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Andrey Rublev
76% ( 35 of 46)
1st Serve %
60% ( 30 of 50)
10
Aces
9
0
Double Faults
0
77% ( 27 of 35)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 20 of 30)
73% ( 8 of 11)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 9 of 20)
100% ( 4 of 4)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
24% ( 11 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 21 of 50)
56
Total Points Won
40
2-6 7-5 7-6(5)
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Andrey Rublev
66% ( 77 of 116)
1st Serve %
66% ( 61 of 92)
14
Aces
14
3
Double Faults
3
65% ( 50 of 77)
1st Serve Won
84% ( 51 of 61)
51% ( 20 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 13 of 31)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
40% ( 46 of 116)
Rtn Points Won
30% ( 28 of 92)
98
Total Points Won
110
6-3 7-5
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Casper Ruud
54% ( 33 of 61)
1st Serve %
62% ( 32 of 52)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
1
76% ( 25 of 33)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 16 of 32)
43% ( 12 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 10 of 20)
100% ( 5 of 5)
Break Points Won
100% ( 3 of 3)
39% ( 24 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 26 of 52)
63
Total Points Won
50
6-2 7-6(3) 0-0 ret.
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Casper Ruud
60% ( 35 of 58)
1st Serve %
69% ( 41 of 59)
4
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
2
77% ( 27 of 35)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 25 of 41)
57% ( 13 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 8 of 18)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
31% ( 18 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 26 of 59)
66
Total Points Won
51
6-4 6-2
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Casper Ruud
47% ( 27 of 57)
1st Serve %
61% ( 35 of 57)
4
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
1
74% ( 20 of 27)
1st Serve Won
46% ( 16 of 35)
50% ( 15 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 11 of 22)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
39% ( 22 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 30 of 57)
65
Total Points Won
49
3-6 7-5 6-3
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Casper Ruud
69% ( 57 of 83)
1st Serve %
72% ( 68 of 95)
8
Aces
5
4
Double Faults
2
79% ( 45 of 57)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 43 of 68)
58% ( 15 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 14 of 27)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
28% ( 23 of 83)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 38 of 95)
98
Total Points Won
80

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Andrey Rublev Casper Ruud
YTD W/L 71% (24/10) 80% (39/10)
Sets Win/Loss 63% (57/34) 70% (89/38)
Games Win/Loss 54% (500/429) 57% (677/518)
Hard Win/Loss 72% (13/5) 77% (17/5)
Clay Win/Loss 69% (9/4) 81% (21/5)
Indoor Hard W/L 67% (2/1) 100% (1/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.58 0.42
Aces Total 265 246
DFs per game 0.17 0.14
DFs Total 76 82
Avg Match Time 1:55:48 1:54:50
Avg Opp Rank 133.62 116.61
1st Serve % 63% (1745/2770) 66% (2398/3657)
1st Serve W% 76% (1333/1745) 73% (1748/2398)
2nd Serve W% 57% (584/1025) 55% (687/1259)
BPs Won% Total 33% (85/257) 41% (157/379)
Return Pts W% 38% (1112/2965) 39% (1430/3668)
Slam W/L 75% (6/2) 75% (6/2)
Masters W/L 67% (8/4) 69% (11/5)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 100% (1/0)
Main Tour W/L 71% (10/4) 88% (21/3)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 72% (18/25) 80% (33/41)
Best of 5 Sets W% 67% (6/9) 75% (6/8)
TBs Win% (Total) 41% (7/17) 67% (10/15)
Deciding Set W% 82% (9/11) 80% (12/15)
1st set W, W 90% (20/18) 94% (36/34)
1st set W, L 10% (20/2) 6% (36/2)
1st set L, W 43% (14/6) 38% (13/5)

Andrey Rublev Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R3
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Andrey Rublev
68% ( 59 of 87)
1st Serve %
52% ( 64 of 123)
13
Aces
9
1
Double Faults
4
75% ( 44 of 59)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 46 of 64)
71% ( 20 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 25 of 59)
38% ( 5 of 13)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
26% ( 23 of 87)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 52 of 123)
116
Total Points Won
94
L
7-6(6) 6-2 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Pedro Martinez Portero
64% ( 54 of 85)
1st Serve %
66% ( 63 of 96)
10
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
4
80% ( 43 of 54)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 38 of 63)
61% ( 19 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 15 of 33)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
27% ( 23 of 85)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 43 of 96)
105
Total Points Won
76
W
6-3 6-4 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Taro Daniel
50% ( 65 of 129)
1st Serve %
46% ( 73 of 158)
17
Aces
10
9
Double Faults
6
89% ( 58 of 65)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 55 of 73)
56% ( 36 of 64)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 38 of 85)
33% ( 5 of 15)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 9)
27% ( 35 of 129)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 65 of 158)
159
Total Points Won
128
W
6-2 6-7(3) 6-3 7-5 H2H
R3
L
3-6 6-3 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Marcos Giron
53% ( 57 of 108)
1st Serve %
56% ( 57 of 102)
5
Aces
3
7
Double Faults
3
72% ( 41 of 57)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 36 of 57)
53% ( 27 of 51)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 21 of 45)
67% ( 6 of 9)
Break Points Won
42% ( 5 of 12)
37% ( 40 of 108)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 45 of 102)
113
Total Points Won
97
W
5-7 6-4 7-5 H2H
F
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
67% ( 61 of 91)
1st Serve %
68% ( 84 of 123)
7
Aces
14
5
Double Faults
5
77% ( 47 of 61)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 60 of 84)
60% ( 18 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 14 of 39)
27% ( 3 of 11)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
29% ( 26 of 91)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 49 of 123)
114
Total Points Won
100
W
4-6 7-5 7-5 H2H
SF
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Taylor Fritz
75% ( 46 of 61)
1st Serve %
55% ( 26 of 47)
5
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
0
83% ( 38 of 46)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 18 of 26)
40% ( 6 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 12 of 21)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
28% ( 17 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 17 of 47)
61
Total Points Won
47
W
6-4 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
74% ( 64 of 86)
1st Serve %
70% ( 57 of 81)
5
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
80% ( 51 of 64)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 34 of 57)
45% ( 10 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
71% ( 17 of 24)
23% ( 3 of 13)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
29% ( 25 of 86)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 30 of 81)
91
Total Points Won
76
W
4-6 6-3 6-2 H2H
R4
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Tallon Griekspoor
77% ( 33 of 43)
1st Serve %
72% ( 41 of 57)
8
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
1
97% ( 32 of 33)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 26 of 41)
40% ( 4 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 7 of 16)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
16% ( 7 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 24 of 57)
60
Total Points Won
40
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
73% ( 55 of 75)
1st Serve %
77% ( 66 of 86)
5
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
69% ( 38 of 55)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 43 of 66)
75% ( 15 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 10 of 20)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
29% ( 22 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 33 of 86)
86
Total Points Won
75
W
7-6(10) 6-4 H2H

Casper Ruud Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
SF
cross
Alexander Zverev
Player
Casper Ruud
68% ( 56 of 82)
1st Serve %
67% ( 71 of 106)
19
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
0
86% ( 48 of 56)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 49 of 71)
54% ( 14 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 14 of 35)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
24% ( 20 of 82)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 43 of 106)
105
Total Points Won
83
L
2-6 6-2 6-4 6-2 H2H
QF
W
w/o H2H
R4
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Taylor Fritz
58% ( 74 of 127)
1st Serve %
56% ( 91 of 163)
11
Aces
19
7
Double Faults
4
69% ( 51 of 74)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 65 of 91)
60% ( 32 of 53)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 27 of 72)
22% ( 6 of 27)
Break Points Won
33% ( 4 of 12)
35% ( 44 of 127)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 71 of 163)
154
Total Points Won
136
W
7-6(6) 3-6 6-4 6-2 H2H
R3
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
69% ( 82 of 119)
1st Serve %
60% ( 55 of 91)
6
Aces
6
5
Double Faults
6
66% ( 54 of 82)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 30 of 55)
41% ( 15 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 17 of 36)
73% ( 8 of 11)
Break Points Won
33% ( 6 of 18)
42% ( 50 of 119)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 44 of 91)
113
Total Points Won
97
W
6-4 1-6 6-2 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
66% ( 97 of 146)
1st Serve %
71% ( 115 of 161)
11
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
4
69% ( 67 of 97)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 75 of 115)
47% ( 23 of 49)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 21 of 46)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
36% ( 5 of 14)
38% ( 56 of 146)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 65 of 161)
155
Total Points Won
152
W
7-6(5) 1-6 6-3 4-6 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Felipe Meligeni Alves
89% ( 64 of 72)
1st Serve %
69% ( 62 of 90)
1
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
0
80% ( 51 of 64)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 40 of 62)
88% ( 7 of 8)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 14 of 28)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
19% ( 14 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 36 of 90)
94
Total Points Won
68
W
6-3 6-4 6-3 H2H
SF
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Flavio Cobolli
64% ( 49 of 77)
1st Serve %
61% ( 51 of 83)
2
Aces
8
2
Double Faults
1
65% ( 32 of 49)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 34 of 51)
64% ( 18 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 16 of 32)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
35% ( 27 of 77)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 33 of 83)
83
Total Points Won
77
W
1-6 6-1 7-6(4) H2H
F
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Tomas Machac
65% ( 48 of 74)
1st Serve %
54% ( 38 of 71)
2
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
3
69% ( 33 of 48)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 23 of 38)
54% ( 14 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 18 of 33)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
36% ( 27 of 74)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 30 of 71)
77
Total Points Won
68
W
7-5 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Sebastian Baez
63% ( 50 of 79)
1st Serve %
80% ( 67 of 84)
3
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
68% ( 34 of 50)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 46 of 67)
55% ( 16 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 6 of 17)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
100% ( 3 of 3)
37% ( 29 of 79)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 32 of 84)
82
Total Points Won
81
W
6-3 3-6 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Sebastian Ofner
60% ( 42 of 70)
1st Serve %
48% ( 39 of 81)
4
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
0
69% ( 29 of 42)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 28 of 39)
68% ( 19 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 19 of 42)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
100% ( 2 of 2)
31% ( 22 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 34 of 81)
82
Total Points Won
69
W
4-6 6-2 6-2 H2H

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